Single Chain Dominance or Dual Chain Prosperity? Understanding the Risks and Opportunities of BCH Fork

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The Background of BCH Fork

1. A Recap of Past Forks

BCH is no stranger to forks, having originated from a BTC fork in 2017 due to Bitcoin's 1MB block size limitation. This led to the creation of BCH with an 8MB block size. In 2018, another hard fork split BCH into BCHABC (retaining the BCH name) and BCHSV (BSV) due to community disagreements over protocol restoration.

The current fork stems from the BCH Infrastructure Funding Plan (IFP), proposed on January 22, which suggested diverting 8% of block rewards to developers. This强制性donation sparked backlash, leading Bitcoin Node to develop an IFP-free alternative. Consequently, BCH faces another hard fork post-block 1605441600.

2. Community Reaction to IFP

The debate centers not on whether developers deserve rewards but on the强制nature of the IFP. Key figures like Roger Ver criticized it as "Soviet-style central planning," galvanizing widespread opposition.

Analyzing BCH Fork Through Historical Trends

1. Economic Theory: Miner Roles and Equilibrium

Rational Miners prioritize profit, switching chains based on:

Under equilibrium, dual-chain挖矿收益converges due to算力adjustments.忠诚Miners (e.g., dev teams) sustain weaker chains但are少数.

Short-Term Effects:

2. Lessons from Past Forks

Will Dual Chains Coexist or Will BCHA Fade?

Market futures suggest BCHA may struggle, but忠诚miners and potential upgrades could prolong its viability. For BCHN, maintaining矿工support hinges on sustaining币价and挖矿收益.

Key Takeaways:

  1. Core Conflict: IFP’s强制donation model alienated矿工and devs.
  2. Miner Behavior: Most are理性,随时switch chains for profit.
  3. Tech Edge: ABC’s开发strength could bolster BCHA long-term.
  4. Investor Caution: 囤币pre-fork carries risks (e.g., post-fork price drops).

FAQ Section

Q1: What triggered the BCH fork?
A: The IFP proposal to redirect 8% of block rewards to developers, deemed强制by the community.

Q2: Which chain has more support?
A: BCHN leads with >75%节点support, while ABC retains少数忠诚miners.

Q3: How do miners choose between chains?
A: 理性miners opt for higher-revenue chains;忠诚miners stick to preferred链despite收益.

Q4: Will both chains survive long-term?
A: BCHA’s future depends on upgrades to attract算力; BCHN must sustain矿工incentives.

Q5: Is pre-fork囤币advisable?
A: Historically risky—post-fork币价often drops below pre-fork levels.

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