Weekly Bitcoin Market Analysis
Monex Securities' cryptocurrency analyst Matsushima Masamichi, from the Monex Virtual Currency Research Institute (operated by Monex Cryptobank Co.), provides weekly updates on Bitcoin and other cryptocurrency market trends. Each Friday, we review price movements and forecast upcoming developments.
Key Price Ranges and Market Drivers
👉 Stay updated on Bitcoin's latest movements
July 4, 2025
- Current Range: $105,000–$112,000 (~¥15.1–16.1M)
- Outlook: Strengthened by record U.S. stock performance. Trade agreement progress could drive further gains.
June 27, 2025
- Current Range: $103,000–$110,000 (~¥14.8–15.8M)
- Outlook: Expected to stabilize amid receding geopolitical tensions, though Trump tariff negotiations require monitoring.
June 20, 2025
- Current Range: $100,000–$109,000 (~¥14.5–15.8M)
- Catalysts: Stablecoin legislation and reserve bill may provide support during ongoing consolidation.
Top Market Influencers
- U.S. Trade Policies: Tariff negotiations directly impact BTC volatility.
- Federal Reserve Actions: FOMC minutes and interest rate speculations sway investor sentiment.
- Geopolitical Events: Middle East tensions often trigger safe-haven asset flows.
FAQ Section
Q: How do U.S. tariffs affect Bitcoin?
A: Tariff uncertainties typically increase market volatility, though BTC often rebounds as traders hedge against traditional market risks.
Q: What’s the significance of BTC’s $100K psychological barrier?
A: Breaching this level historically boosts bullish sentiment, attracting institutional interest.
Q: How reliable are weekly price ranges?
A: Ranges reflect technical support/resistance levels but should be combined with fundamental analysis.
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All forecasts are based on technical analysis and macroeconomic indicators. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.
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